Worlds: Will Team Liquid Alienware win their Swiss-stage best-of-3 vs LOS?

85%
+1% last 24h

41%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 15The market required that, by no later than 23:59:59 CEST on 14 September 2026 in Spain, Pocholo be publicly listed or referred to by mainstream Spanish TV media or by RTVE/La 1 programme communications as an active contestant on MasterChef Celebrity Legends. News coverage (ElDiario.es, Infobae) listed him among the 15 contestants and the first episode on 7 September eliminated Juanjo Ballesta rather than Pocholo, while live reporting of the second gala (El Confidencial) shows Pocholo was in the bottom three but that Manuel Díaz was the expelled contestant in a report timestamped 03:25 on 15 September 2026. Because the expulsion happened after 23:59:59 CEST on 14 September 2026 and contemporaneous coverage does not show Pocholo removed by that cutoff, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled41%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent news reports in the supplied evidence show Pocholo was part of the cast and that he had not been removed from the competition by the target cutoff. Cast lists and coverage of the premiere (ElDiario.es, Infobae) list Pocholo among the 15 contestants; the first episode (7 Sept) eliminated Juanjo Ballesta, not Pocholo. Live coverage of the second gala (El Confidencial) reports that Anabel Alonso, Pocholo and Manuel Díaz were the worst of the elimination but that Manuel Díaz was the one expelled (the live-blogged expulsion occurred at 03:25 on 2026-09-15). Because that expulsion (and the episode’s final elimination) happened after 23:59:59 CEST on 2026-09-14 and the reporting explicitly shows Pocholo was not the eliminated contestant, the supplied evidence establishes that Pocholo remained an active contestant as of no later than 23:59:59 CEST on 2026-09-14.
Source: eldiario.esSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledPocholo's still in the game with just under 24 hours to go. There's a solid chance he'll be referenced as active, especially given the show's track record.

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