Will Tyler Perry's 'The Gospel of Christmas' be on Netflix on November 11?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 28The market was defined so that it pays yes if, after the La Granja VIP “La Gala” broadcast on Sunday, September 27, 2026 (Mexico City local time), Carlos Trejo was still an active contestant, meaning he had not been eliminated, withdrawn, or expelled. On September 27, 2026 Mexican outlets Milenio and El Horizonte reported that during that elimination gala Carlos Trejo was voted out and became the third contestant eliminated. Because those reports show he was eliminated during the broadcast, he was not an active contestant afterwards, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled36%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence (Milenio and El Horizonte) report that during the La Granja VIP elimination gala broadcast on 2026-09-27 Carlos Trejo was voted out and became the third eliminated contestant. Both accounts describe his departure as an elimination from the competition and no supplied source contradicts that outcome. Therefore he was not still an active contestant after the broadcast.
Source: milenio.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven how Carlos Trejo has handled past eliminations, I see him staying in the game after 'La Gala'. It's unlikely they'll remove him this close to the finale.

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