Will Tyler Perry's 'The Gospel of Christmas' be on Netflix on November 11?

72%
Stable · last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 28The market resolves yes if, as of 23:59 on 27 September 2026 Mexico City time (UTC−06:00), Azalia was still an active contestant and had not been eliminated, withdrawn, expelled, medically evacuated, or otherwise permanently removed, according to TV Azteca or mainstream entertainment reporting. Multiple independent outlets report that on 27 September 2026 the third elimination was Carlos Trejo, and that Azalia Ojeda was taken off the nomination plate and remained in the competition while La Bebeshita replaced her on the plate. Because those reports show Azalia as an active contestant at 23:59 on 27 September 2026, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled38%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent sources in the supplied evidence show that the third elimination on 27 September 2026 was Carlos Trejo, while Azalia Ojeda was removed from the nomination plate (i.e., saved) and continued participating. TV Azteca's gala coverage states Carlos Trejo became the third eliminated; ADN40's report names Carlos Trejo as the third eliminado and also lists Azalia among active participants/peones that week; El Financiero and Mediotiempo explicitly report that Azalia was taken off the placa (saved) and replaced by La Bebeshita. No supplied source reports Azalia being eliminated, evicted, withdrawn, expelled, medically evacuated, or otherwise permanently removed on 2026-09-27. Therefore, as of 2026-09-27 (by 23:59 Mexico City time) Azalia was an active contestant.
Source: tvazteca.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith just over a week until the deadline, Azalia's status as an active contestant seems stable. Given the dynamics in these shows, I’d bet she’ll still be in by the 27th.

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