Will T1 win the LCK 2026 Season Playoffs?

52%
-13% last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 21The rule says the market is YES if, at 12:00 PM on September 21, 2026 (Mexico City time, UTC-06:00), TV Azteca UNO’s La Granja VIP coverage and mainstream Mexican entertainment media do not report that Azalia Ojeda was officially eliminated, expelled, ejected, medically evacuated, or voluntarily withdrawn. Reports from the elimination gala on September 20, 2026 identify María Karunna as the second contestant eliminated, TV Azteca documents Azalia’s nomination but gives no exit, Clarosports records that Azalia used the "La Traición" benefit to save another and put Carlos Trejo on the plate, and other outlets note Pablo Montero entering minutes after Karunna’s elimination. None of these sources report Azalia being removed by 12:00 PM on September 21, 2026, so the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled54%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news reports of the elimination gala on 20 September 2026 identify María Karunna as the second contestant eliminated (e.g., Milenio, El Siglo de Torreón, Infobae). TV Azteca's own coverage documents Azalia's nomination earlier in the week but does not report an exit, and Clarosports specifically notes Azalia used the 'La Traición' benefit (saving another contestant and placing Carlos Trejo on the plate), which demonstrates she remained active in the competition. Infobae and other reports also describe Pablo Montero entering minutes after María Karunna's elimination. None of the supplied sources report that Azalia Ojeda was officially eliminated, expelled, ejected, medically evacuated, or voluntarily withdrawn. Therefore, as of 2026-09-21 12:00 (Mexico City time), Azalia Ojeda had not been removed from La Granja VIP Segunda Temporada.
Source: tvazteca.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that Azalia hasn't been eliminated yet and we have a few days until the gala, she's likely to still be in the competition come the 21st. I expect her to remain.

52%
-13% last 24h

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63%
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95%
Stable · last 24h
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