Will Tyler Perry's 'The Gospel of Christmas' be on Netflix on November 11?

72%
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92%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 25To resolve yes, Yassin had to be an active contestant on Koh-Lanta: All Stars at 11:59:59 PM on September 25, 2026 (Paris time), meaning he must not have been definitively eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated, and if the season had finished earlier the market would pay yes only if he had won. French TV recaps after the episode broadcast on September 22, 2026 show Yassin taking part in the raft and immunity sequences and not being eliminated, and Programme TV lists the next episode for September 29, 2026, showing the season was still ongoing after September 25. Because no outlets reported any definitive elimination, withdrawal, or medical evacuation of Yassin before 11:59:59 PM on September 25, 2026, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled92%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Contemporary recaps from multiple independent French outlets show Yassin was still competing in Koh‑Lanta: All Stars after the episode aired on 2026-09-22 and that the season had not ended by 2026-09-25. Programme‑TV’s episode‑5 recap (broadcast 2026-09-22) explicitly describes Yassin taking part in the raft/pyrogue and immunity sequences and does not list him as eliminated (Charlotte is reported eliminated in that episode). Ouest‑France / ProgrammeTV’s episode page lists the series’ upcoming episodes (next episode scheduled 2026-09-29), demonstrating the season was ongoing past 2026-09-25. Other independent recaps (e.g. 20 Minutes, SortirAParis, Ozap, Téléstar) consistently report Yassin’s involvement in episodes 4–5 and do not report any withdrawal or medical evacuation prior to 2026-09-25. No supplied source reports Yassin being definitively eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated before 2026-09-25 23:59:59 CEST, so he was an active contestant at that moment.
Source: programme-tv.netSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith a week to go and the current state of play, Yassin should still be in the game. The pressure of elimination looms, but I expect him to hang on until the deadline.

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