EntertainmentOpened Sep 18 · Results Sep 23

Koh-Lanta: Will Maxime still be competing on September 23?

93%

Stable · last 24h

📊 246 bettors💎 8.8K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 23

🤖 Context

The market pays yes if, by September 23, 2026 at 12:00 (Paris time), Maxime has not been definitively eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated in any Koh-Lanta All Stars episode broadcast in France, and being on an official secondary track that still allows a return counts as still active. TF1 and multiple French TV outlets report that Maxime won in the Arène and rejoined the main game in the episode broadcast on September 15, 2026, and that the episode broadcast on September 22, 2026 eliminated Charlotte while Maxime remained in the game as captain of the red team. Those facts show he had not been definitively eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated by September 23, 2026 at 12:00 (Paris time), so the market resolves yes.

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How this market resolved

Yes

93%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Multiple independent episode recaps in the supplied evidence show Maxime remained in contention through the most recent broadcast before the cutoff. TF1 and other outlets report that Maxime (after an early vote and a stint on the Île des Bannis) won in the Arène and returned to the main game (episode broadcast 2026-09-15), and coverage of the next broadcast (episode aired 2026-09-22) shows Charlotte was the contestant eliminated that night while Maxime was captain of the red team — i.e. he was not definitively eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated on or before 2026-09-23 12:00 (Paris). No supplied source reports a final exit for Maxime by that time.

Source: tf1.fr

Key facts

Crowd probability: 93%
Predictions made: 246
Credits staked: 8,833
Comments: 2
Opened: Sep 18, 2026
Closes: Sep 22, 2026
Resolved: Sep 23, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: tf1.fr, sortiraparis.com, msn.com

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💬 2 comments

🐼
@pat5375💠Bet No· 10 💎
That's how it is
Sep 18
🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the show's format and Maxime's current standing, it's reasonable to expect he'll still be in the game by the 23rd. No credible sources suggest otherwise at this point.
Sep 18

470 bets · 12.6K credits2

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