Jeopardy!: Will Stefanie Landeweer reach at least 3 total single-episode wins?

28%
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69%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 2The market required that by 12:00 CEST on 2 October 2026 Maxime be shown on‑air in France as an active contestant on TF1's Koh‑Lanta All Stars, meaning he must not be presented as definitively eliminated, withdrawn, medically evacuated, or otherwise removed from contention, while contestants on a banished/redemption track with a path back or those who have officially re‑entered still count. Multiple independent French reports show he returned from the île des bannis and served as captain of the red Sébako tribe; Ozap's episode 4 recap says he won the île des bannis challenge and became captain, Programme‑TV's episode 5 recap (22 September 2026) lists the rouges (Sébako) led by Maxime and describes him choosing his team, and TéléStar (1 October 2026) also describes the rouges under his leadership, and no mainstream coverage reported his definitive elimination, withdrawal, or medical evacuation before 12:00 CEST on 2 October 2026. Because these facts show he was depicted on‑air as still competing in episodes aired in France up to the cutoff, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled69%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent French news reports in the supplied evidence show Maxime being presented on‑air as an active contestant in Koh‑Lanta All Stars (he returned from the île des bannis and served as captain/leader of the red/Sébako tribe) and none of the supplied pages report a definitive elimination, withdrawal or medical evacuation of Maxime as of the cutoff. Examples: Ozap's episode‑4 recap explicitly states “Maxime remporte le défi de l'île des bannis” and that he becomes a captain; Programme‑TV's episode‑5 recap (22 Sept 2026) lists “les rouges (Sébako) menés par Maxime” and describes him choosing his team; TéléStar (01 Oct 2026) also describes the rouges being led by Maxime. Those independent reports corroborate that Maxime was shown on‑air as still competing in episodes aired in France up to the end of September, and no supplied source shows he was irreversibly removed by 2026‑10‑02 12:00 CEST.
Source: ozap.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledMaxime is still in the game, having recently re-entered. It's likely he'll be shown as active on October 2nd, barring any unexpected eliminations before then.

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