EntertainmentOpened Sep 17 · Results Sep 25

Koh-Lanta: Will Maxime still be competing on 25 September 2026?

82%

Stable · last 24h

📊 157 bettors💎 4.9K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 25

🤖 Context

The market pays yes if Maxime is still an active contestant on TF1’s Koh-Lanta All Stars at 11:59:59 PM on 25 September 2026, Paris time, meaning he has not been definitively eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated and time on any exile or twist island that still allows a path to victory counts as still competing. Episode recaps show Maxime re-entered in episode 4 on 15 September 2026 and that in episode 5, aired 22 September 2026, his Red tribe won both challenges and Charlotte was voted out, with no mention of Maxime being eliminated. Because new episodes air on Tuesdays and no episode aired between 22 and 25 September, the season had not concluded and Maxime remained an active contestant at 11:59:59 PM on 25 September 2026, so the market resolves yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

82%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Multiple independent recaps establish that Maxime re-entered the game in episode 4 (Sept 15) and, in episode 5 (Sept 22), his Red tribe won both challenges while Charlotte (Yellow) was voted out, with no mention of Maxime being eliminated. Outlets also note the show airs new episodes on Tuesdays, so no additional episode (and thus no new elimination) occurred before Friday, Sept 25. Therefore, as of 11:59:59 PM on Sept 25 (Paris time), the season had not concluded and Maxime remained an active contestant.

Source: programme.tv

Key facts

Crowd probability: 82%
Predictions made: 157
Credits staked: 4,850
Comments: 1
Opened: Sep 17, 2026
Closes: Sep 22, 2026
Resolved: Sep 25, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: programme.tv, voici.fr, soirmag.lesoir.be

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💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the timeline and the way this game works, I don’t see Maxime still being active by the 25th. The odds are against him with elimination factors coming into play.
Sep 17

470 bets · 12.6K credits2

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