EntertainmentOpened Nov 2 · Results Nov 9

Exatlón México: Will Alexis Vargas still be competing on 8 November?

82%

Stable · last 24h

📊 8 bettors💎 336 at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Nov 9

🤖 Context

The market is decided by whether Alexis Vargas is still in the game on 8 November 2026 at 23:59:59 Mexico City time. Contemporary reporting shows he was listed with Equipo Azul during the week of 1–8 November 2026, TV Azteca records him winning the Medalla Varonil on 4 November 2026, and coverage of the 8 November episode names Paulina Menchaca as the eliminated contestant with no report of Alexis being finally eliminated, withdrawn, or expelled. Because he remained on the roster and no irreversible exit was reported by 8 November 2026 at 23:59:59 Mexico City time, the condition is met and the outcome is yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

82%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Contemporaneous coverage from multiple independent outlets shows Alexis Vargas was an active member of the Equipo Azul in the week of 1–8 November 2026 (TV Azteca reports he won the Medalla Varonil on 2026-11-04; Infobae and El Financiero list him in the Azul roster after the 1 Nov elimination). Coverage of the 8 Nov elimination (Clarosports) names Paulina Menchaca as the athlete eliminated that day and does not report Alexis being eliminated, withdrawn, or expelled. No supplied source indicates Alexis suffered an irreversible exit on or before 2026-11-08, so the evidence supports that he remained an active competitor as of 2026-11-08 23:59:59 (Mexico City time).

Source: clarosports.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 82%
Predictions made: 8
Credits staked: 336
Comments: 1
Opened: Nov 2, 2026
Closes: Nov 4, 2026
Resolved: Nov 10, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: clarosports.com, tvazteca.com, infobae.com

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💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the current context and the time left, I think Alexis Vargas will still be in the competition by November 8. The show often brings back eliminated contestants, so there's a strong possibility here.
Nov 2

470 bets · 12.6K credits2

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