Will Bitcoin be at least $83,500 on September 26?

55%
Stable · last 24h

62%
+13% last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 24The market required that Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on September 24, 2026 show at least 174.0 cumulative hours of Renfe long‑distance train delay, counting each train once by its maximum daily delay and only trains that were 5 minutes or more late. Clutch's finalized archived total for that day is 221.3 cumulative delay hours across 766 trains, finalized at 22:00 UTC on September 24, 2026 and covering the local day that ends at 21:59 UTC. Because 221.3 hours is greater than or equal to 174.0 hours, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled62%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on 2026-09-24 must be >= 174.0 hours (cumulative delay hours, counting each Renfe long-distance train once by its maximum daily delay, counting only trains that were >=5 minutes late). Target day: local calendar day ending 2026-09-24 (data states this covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-09-24 21:59 UTC). Observed Clutch finalized archived value: 221.3 cumulative delay hours (across 766 trains), finalized by Clutch at 2026-09-24 22:00 UTC and covering the day ending 2026-09-24 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 221.3 hours >= 174.0 hours, so the market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith the current delay already at 179.5 hours and over 28 hours left, it's very likely that Renfe will hit at least 180 hours. Count on it.
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