Will Bitcoin be at least $76,800 on 15 September?

39%
Stable · last 24h

90%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than September 14, 2026 shows the sum of per‑train delays from local midnight through the end of that day is at least 60 hours, otherwise NO. Only include trains whose latest reported delay during the day was at least five minutes, count each train once using its latest reported delay, and sum delays in hours (for example 90 minutes = 1.5 hours). The market is resolved using Clutch's archived total computed from SNCF's official 'horaires-sncf' open-data dataset on transport.data.gouv.fr.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 90%, based on 259 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 61 hours of delay already reported, it seems likely we'll surpass the 60-hour mark by tomorrow. The SNCF's track record supports this expectation.
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