Will Bitcoin be at least $80,000 on Oct 31?

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49%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 15The market resolves to yes if the Binance BTC/USDT last-trade price at exactly 10:00 UTC on 15 September 2026 is greater than or equal to US$76,800. At that instant the most recent Binance trade price was US$76,984.05. Because US$76,984.05 is above US$76,800 the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled49%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Binance BTC/USDT last-trade price at exactly 2026-09-15T10:00:00+00:00 >= $76,800. Target instant: 2026-09-15 10:00 UTC. Observed value (from supplied Binance hourly data): 2026-09-15 10:00 UTC = 76984.05 USDT. Comparison: 76,984.05 >= 76,800 → true (exceeds threshold by $184.05). Therefore: YES.
Source: binance.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledBTC is at 77,760.00 $ currently, so well above expectations, hoping it doesn't drop again and stays balanced.
With Bitcoin hovering around $76,570 now and the volatility typical in the crypto market, it's plausible it could hit $76,800 by the deadline. This one feels like a 'yes'.

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