Will at least 560 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on September 3?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than September 3, 2026 shows at least 560 distinct SNCF trains that were 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the cutoff. Each distinct train is counted at most once using its latest reported delay during that day. The total is Clutch's finalized archived daily total computed from SNCF's official 'horaires-sncf' open-data feed on the French government's transport data portal.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 136 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

136

Credits staked

4,331

Comments

3

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 136 predictions and 4.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 560 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on September 3?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 560 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on September 3?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.