Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

64%
+1% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the Brent crude oil closing price for the calendar date September 4, 2026 is greater than or equal to 89.00 USD per barrel, otherwise NO. The primary reference is the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series DCOILBRENTEU. If FRED has no value for September 4, 2026 (for example a market holiday), use the most recent prior business day's value shown on FRED, and if FRED shows multiple revisions for that date use the value visible on FRED on the resolution date.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against fred.stlouisfed.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 85%, based on 55 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current price of 88.24 and a max range of 105.32, hitting 89 in just a few days seems unlikely. I'm betting it won't close above that threshold.

64%
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56%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

28%
Stable · last 24h
94%
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44%
Stable · last 24h
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