Will at least 415 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on September 1, 2026 shows that at least 415 distinct Renfe long-distance trains ran 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the end of that day, counting each train once by its Renfe train/service identifier and using its latest reported delay, and only counting services classified as long‑distance in Renfe's official data feed. Otherwise NO. The deciding source is Renfe's official real-time open-data feed.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

195

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 31, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 8 predictions and 195 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 415 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 415 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.