Will SNCF have at least 645 trains 5+ minutes late on September 1?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the France local calendar day no later than September 1 shows at least 645 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay that day was 5 minutes or more. Clutch counts each train once using that train's latest reported delay during that France local calendar day, it does not sum delays or count a train more than once. The preferred authoritative source is Clutch's finalized archive computed from the SNCF open-data feed, dataset 'horaires-sncf'. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 132 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

132

Credits staked

4,071

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 31, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 132 predictions and 4.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 645 trains 5+ minutes late on September 1?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 645 trains 5+ minutes late on September 1?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.