Will at least 21,743 bets be placed on Clutch on August 14?

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YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than August 15, 2026 shows the cumulative delay across Renfe long‑distance trains that were 5 minutes or more late since local midnight is greater than or equal to 118.0 hours, otherwise NO. Count each train once using its latest reported delay for the day. This resolves according to Renfe's official real‑time feed and Clutch's finalized archived computation of that feed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 10 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 124.2 cumulative hours already logged, Renfe will surpass 124 hours easily by tomorrow. Delays aren't going anywhere, so I'm confident it'll hit that mark.

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