Will Bitcoin trade at or above $63,700 on August 15?

42%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature in New York City on August 17, 2026 is greater than or equal to 29 °C, otherwise NO. The preferred source is the Open-Meteo daily summary for New York City, and if Open-Meteo provides a numeric daily maximum for that date that value is dispositive, otherwise other public meteorological reporting for New York City on that date will be used to determine the observed daily maximum. Numerical comparisons use the reported value in degrees Celsius and an exact reported value of 29.0 °C counts as meeting the threshold.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith the forecast showing a max of 29.1°C, I'd bet on it hitting at least 29°C. It's close enough for a solid chance, plus August can be quite warm in NYC.

42%
Stable · last 24h

17%
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56%
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45%
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