Will at least 350 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late on August 14?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than August 14 shows at least 350 distinct Renfe long-distance trains that had a reported numeric delay of 5 minutes or more between local midnight and the end of that day, each train counted once. The authoritative source is Renfe's official real-time open-data feed. Statuses reported without a numeric delay (for example 'cancelled') do not count unless the feed also provides a numeric delay of at least 5 minutes.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 49 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

65%

Predictions made

49

Credits staked

1,450

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 14, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 65% and NO 35%, based on 49 predictions and 1.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 350 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late on August 14?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 350 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late on August 14?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.