OtherOpened Aug 1 · Results Aug 2

Will at least 275 Renfe long-distance trains be 5+ minutes late?

85%

Stable · last 24h

📊 47 bettors💎 897 at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Aug 2

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's final archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than August 2 shows at least 275 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay during that local day was 5 minutes or more. Each train is counted once using its latest reported delay during the day, and a train listed only as cancelled with no numeric delay does not count. The authoritative source is Renfe's official data, preferably its real-time feed, and Clutch's archived daily aggregate derived from that feed.

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How this market resolved

Yes

85%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on 2026-08-02 must show at least 275 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay during that local day was >= 5 minutes. Target window/instant: the local calendar day ending at 2026-08-02 (data states coverage ending 2026-08-02 21:59 UTC) and Clutch's finalized daily total (finalized at 2026-08-02 22:00 UTC). Observed value: Clutch's finalized daily total = 371 trains seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was 5+ minutes (covers the local calendar day ending 2026-08-02 21:59 UTC). Comparison: 371 >= 275, so the condition is met. Therefore outcome: YES.

Source: clutch.vip