Will the 'Win a Nintendo Switch 2' contest reach at least 12,500 claimed tickets on September 13 (UTC)?

67%
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56%
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YES if the Binance BTC/USDT last-trade price at 10:00 UTC on 11 September 2026 is greater than or equal to $79,500 USDT (USDT treated as USD), otherwise NO. Use the last Binance trade price at or before that timestamp; if no trade exists at or before it, use the first Binance trade after. If Binance publishes no BTC/USDT trade data that day, use the BTC spot price at that time reported by at least two major public market-data providers or major exchanges (for example CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, CoinDesk, Coinbase, Bitstamp). Prices are evaluated to the cent and equality counts as YES.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against binance.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 48 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Bitcoin's current price at $79,009.99, it's likely to stay above $79,500 with the volatility of the next two days. This threshold is very achievable, so I expect a YES.

67%
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59%
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48%
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