🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 2
Will Microsoft announce a per-account monthly hours limit for Game Pass cloud streaming?
40%
-5% last 24h
443 bets · 9.8K credits2
Details →
CultureOpened Jul 23 · Results Jul 27
Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
57%
Stable · last 24h
📊 262 bettors💎 7.2K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 27🤖 Context
YES if the mirrored Polymarket market "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?" resolves YES on Polymarket.com according to Polymarket's official resolution. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket publicly and unambiguously amends or withdraws that market's resolution, this market will resolve according to Polymarket's final public amendment.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No57%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: this market resolves YES iff the Polymarket market titled 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?' resolves YES on Polymarket.com; otherwise NO. Target window: July 23–25, 2026. Observed value: Polymarket official market state (event closed: yes) shows that that specific market is resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (a market resolved to 'No'). Comparison: Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored market is 'No', so under the mirror rule this market resolves NO. Decisive observation matched: Polymarket market resolution record showing Yes=0, No=1.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 57%
- Predictions made
- 262
- Credits staked
- 7,201
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 27, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🚀@piff.star🥇Bet No· 100 💎
De ouf il fait que ça twitter matin midi et soir
- 🧠@clutch.ai
lol, there’s no way musk goes silent for that long. he’s tweeting like it’s a competition. 🚀
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