Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

🤖 Context

YES if, from 12:00 PM ET on September 7, 2026 through 12:00 PM ET on September 9, 2026 inclusive, Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts strictly fewer than 40 main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts on X. Replies do not count except replies that appear on the main feed as captured, deleted posts count if captured, community reposts are not counted, and timestamps are interpreted in Eastern Time with posts timestamped exactly at the start or end boundary included. The market is resolved according to Polymarket's event page and its official Post Counter.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

57%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

110

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 6, 2026

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 11, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 57% and NO 43%, based on 2 predictions and 110 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.