Presidents Cup: will the United States win?

72%
+1% last 24h

26%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 20The rule required the three Bundesliga matches on 20 September 2026 (Bayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig, Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg, SC Paderborn 07 v TSG Hoffenheim) to show a combined total of ten or more yellow‑card cautions in the official match reports for a yes. The official reports show 5 yellow cards in Leverkusen v Leipzig, 3 in Schalke v Elversberg, and 1 in Paderborn v Hoffenheim, for a combined total of 9 yellow cards. Because 9 is less than the required 10, the condition is not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled26%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: the combined total number of yellow‑card cautions across the three Bundesliga matches on 2026-09-20 (Bayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig; Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg; SC Paderborn 07 v TSG Hoffenheim) is at least 10. Target date/window: fixtures played on 2026-09-20 (the three scheduled kick‑offs). Observations from supplied data: the feed states this is the complete set of fixtures for 20–22 Sep and lists 3 matches for 2026-09-20; Counted events across these fixtures: Yellow cards: 9. Per‑match breakdown: Leverkusen v RB Leipzig 5 yellow; Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg 3 yellow; SC Paderborn 07 v TSG Hoffenheim 1 yellow; total = 5+3+1 = 9. Comparison: 9 < 10, so the condition (>=10) is not met. Therefore outcome: NO.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent match statistics, hitting ten yellow cards seems unlikely. Averaging nearly 3 per match, we'd need a significant uptick. I'm betting on no.

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