Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/401
right calls
67
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions67
- Will Morena publish a single definitive national list naming its chosen coordinators/candidates for all 300 federal districts?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 2402 predictions38%Yes
- Will federal charges be filed against Iván "N" (alias "El Cromo") for extortion, drug dealing, murder, or kidnapping?Closes Jan 1402 predictions17%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,105,963.2 million pesos to Health?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2401 predictions76%Yes
- Will at least one of the 12,500 new 'consultorios gratuitos' start operating?Closes Jan 1 · Results Feb 1401 predictions60%Yes
- Will Tropical Storm Vance make landfall in Mexico?Closes Oct 3135 predictions21%Yes
- Will a formal criminal investigation be opened into Guadalupe Taddei?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 29 predictions42%Yes
- Will IMSS workers hold a public march in Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 318 predictions87%Yes
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum meet on the record with Tatiana Clouthier in person or in a publicly acknowledged call?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 166 predictions27%Yes
- Will detailed vote counts from the Oct 14 IMSS salary consultation be published?Closes Nov 35 predictions57%Yes
- Will Morena publicly name at least one new state coordinator by direct designation?Closes Dec 14 predictions70%Yes
- Will IMSS workers stage blockades or mobilizations that close roads in at least three different Mexican states or Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 313 predictions72%Yes
- Will Ciudad Juárez set clocks back one hour on November 1?Closes Nov 13 predictions78%Yes
How it turned out401
- Mexico: more Google searches for politics than for science on August 5?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 6 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 24 °C on Tuesday, August 4, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5 - Will a rider from the USA, Canada, Mexico, or Cuba win Stage 4, the day‑four individual time trial, of the Tour de France Femmes?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Mexico have more Google searches for politics than for science on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Mexico City's high be at least 25°C on Monday, August 3, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4 - Will the daily high in Mexico City on Sunday, August 2, 2026 reach at least 24 °C?Yes
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will Aldo Rendón be announced as eliminated at the first La Casa de los Famosos México elimination gala after the July 26 premiere?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will the PlayStation Store in Mexico show and charge digital game prices in Mexican pesos (MXN) on or after August 1, 2026 (Mexico City local time)?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 1 - Will the Mexico PlayStation Store show prices and let you pay in Mexican pesos on or before August 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 1 - Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have a public screening at any Cinépolis in Mexico on July 29, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 31