
A multidão estava 77% confiante, e acertou.
23%
Probabilidade final
“A atenção total não significa parcial, acho que teremos uma equipe parcial na França.”
Porquê: Contemporaneous eclipse maps and news coverage in multiple independent, credible sources show the umbral path on 2026-08-12 crossed the Arctic/Greenland/Iceland and northern Iberia (northern Spain and a sliver of Portugal) but did not include metropolitan France or any French overseas departments. Authoritative mapping (National Solar Observatory) and mapping/graphics reports (Reuters, OrbitalRadar) list the countries under totality as Greenland, Iceland, Portugal (northern tip) and northern Spain; news coverage (CNN) and a French city-by-city summary (Linternaute) report French cities experiencing deep partial eclipses (e.g. Paris ~92%, Biarritz ~99.5%) rather than 100% totality. Because three or more independent credible outlets corroborate that no location in France lay inside the path of totality on 2026-08-12, the correct settlement is NO.
Fonte: reuters.comResolvido em 12 de ago.


















