A multidão estava 86% confiante, e acertou.
14%
Probabilidade final
“O Irã hoje abandona a possibilidade de se reunir na Suíça.. não acho que o conflito vai parar tão cedo.”
Porquê: The supplied evidence contains direct, dated reporting that no bilateral deal had been publicly concluded by the deadline. President Trump told reporters on Aug. 6 that “a deal has not been reached” and that negotiations were still ongoing (Fox News live feed; Times of Israel, both Aug. 6). Independent analysis and reporting in the pool (Crisis Group, IranIntl and Iranian outlets) describe continued strikes, that the June 17 memorandum intended to halt hostilities looked moribund, and that talks (including Oman-mediated talks) were still ongoing or not yet finalized. None of the pages in the provided evidence shows both the U.S. and the Islamic Republic of Iran issuing a public joint announcement that they had agreed to a mutual cessation of offensive military operations on or before 2026-08-06. The U.S. president’s explicit statement that no deal was reached is positive evidence the required public mutual announcement did not occur by the deadline.
Fonte: foxnews.comResolvido em 7 de ago.