
A multidão estava 74% confiante, e errou.
74%
Probabilidade final
Porquê: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day Aug 2, 2026 (local midnight through the end of that local day) must be >= 420 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay that day was >= 5 minutes. Observed data: Clutch's finalized daily total for 2026-08-02 (finalized 2026-08-02 22:01 UTC) reports 413 trains seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was 5+ minutes; this covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-08-02 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 413 < 420, so the condition (>=420) is not met. Therefore the market resolves NO.
Fonte: clutch.vipResolvido em 2 de ago.


















