Will Dragon’s Dogma 2: Dark Arisen be released on 9 October 2026 on PC, PS5, Xbox Series X/S and Nintendo Switch 2?

93%
+4% last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 23The market requires that Luminate Data report WILD by KATSEYE had strictly more than 175,000 U.S. album-equivalent units during the tracking week from August 14 to 20, 2026, using Luminate’s number as of 10:00 AM ET on Sunday, August 23, 2026. As of 10:00 AM ET on Sunday, August 23, 2026, Luminate reported that WILD had strictly more than 175,000 U.S. album-equivalent units for the August 14 to 20, 2026 tracking week. Because that figure is above 175,000, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled58%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: "WILD by KATSEYE has strictly more than 175,000 U.S. album-equivalent units during the August 14–20, 2026 tracking week." Target observation: Luminate Data's reported number as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following that tracking week (Sunday, 2026-08-23). Observed data (from the supplied Kalshi ticker state): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: Kalshi's official finalized YES (per the market's own resolution rule relying on Luminate as of 10:00 AM ET on 2026-08-23) indicates the reported Luminate value exceeded 175,000 U.S. album-equivalent units for the Aug 14–20, 2026 tracking week. Therefore the market condition is satisfied and resolves YES.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current tracking week, I don't see WILD by KATSEYE hitting over 175,000 units. Even with a few days left, it seems unlikely based on prior trends.

93%
+4% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h

95%
Stable · last 24h

91%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy