Premier League: will three or more goals be scored in Chelsea vs Manchester United on 31 October?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 27The market required that Urška Žigart appear on Slovenia’s official start list for the women’s elite road race at the 2026 UCI Road World Championships in Montréal and that the race’s official final results record her as having started. Multiple independent cycling outlets reported she was ruled out of Montréal with a new jaw fracture and did not take part, and no official final results list her as a starter. Because she is not recorded as having started in the official results, the condition is not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled17%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent cycling news outlets in the supplied evidence explicitly report that Urška Žigart was ruled out / would miss the Montréal World Championships road race (injury/new jaw fracture) and therefore did not take part. Examples: CyclingFlash reports the road race on 26 Sept was “out of the question” for Žigart after a new jaw fracture; ProCyclingUK lists her among major riders who will miss Montréal; Domestique and Cyclingnews both state she was ruled out of the Worlds. No page in the evidence pool shows official final results recording her as having started (time, DNF, DSQ, etc.). With three-or-more independent outlets corroborating the same concrete outcome (that she did not start), the correct settlement is NO.
Source: cyclingflash.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledŽigart's participation hinges on her official entry; if she makes the start list, she's in. Given the timeline, I'd say it's a strong possibility she'll take part in the race.

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