Will 'Patient Zero' by Taylor Swift be the #2 song on Spotify's global chart?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 6The market required Kalshi to finalize that UNABOMBER was the #1 movie on Netflix in the United States for Oct 5, 2026. Kalshi's page shows the ticker KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26OCT05-UNA as finalized with an official result of yes. Because the rule demanded an official Kalshi-finalized yes, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled48%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi's exact ticker KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26OCT05-UNA is finalized by Kalshi with an official YES. Target/window: Whether UNABOMBER was #1 on Netflix US for Oct 5, 2026 (Kalshi's primary rule uses the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on Oct 6, 2026). Observed value: The supplied Kalshi page data shows Official status: finalized and Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: The Kalshi official finalized result is YES, which satisfies the market's requirement of an official finalized YES, so the correct resolution is YES.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith 57% odds, it's close but unlikely for UNABOMBER to snag the top spot. Other releases might pull ahead in the final days before October 5.

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