Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

92%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 28YES if, on Box Office Mojo's France weekend box office chart for the weekend covering July 22–26, 2026, the reported weekend gross for "Toy Story 5" is strictly greater than the reported weekend gross for "Moana". If the two films have identical reported weekend grosses, or if Box Office Mojo does not list a weekend gross for one or both films for that period, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled76%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: 'Toy Story 5' weekend gross > 'Moana' weekend gross on Box Office Mojo's France weekend chart for weekend 2026W28 (page provided). Target/window observed on the page: French 2026 Weekend 28 (July 15-19, 2026). Observed values from that page: Toy Story 5 weekend gross = $2,336,000; Moana weekend gross = $3,161,000. Comparison: $2,336,000 is not strictly greater than $3,161,000, so the condition is false. Both films have weekend grosses listed; therefore the market resolves NO.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledpff, toy story 5 va exploser les chiffres, moana c’est bien mais faut pas rêver. les gamins vont se ruer au ciné ! 🎬

92%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h
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