Ligue 1: Will PSG score 3 or more goals against Le Mans on October 10?

55%
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70%
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Resolved: No
Results Sep 27The market requires the official finishing classification published by the event organiser or by the UCI, on or before the resolution date, to list Tom Pidcock in 1st, 2nd, or 3rd. Published results and multiple independent reports show the elite men's road race podium at the 2026 UCI Road World Championships as Brandon McNulty first, Michael Matthews second, and Mathieu van der Poel third, and they record Tom Pidcock in 7th place. Because Pidcock is not listed in the top three, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled70%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 70% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent race reports in the supplied evidence give the podium as Brandon McNulty (1), Michael Matthews (2) and Mathieu van der Poel (3), and place Tom Pidcock well outside the top three. For example, CyclingStage's results page lists McNulty/ Matthews/ van der Poel as the podium and shows Tom Pidcock in 7th, FloBikes' report likewise describes McNulty winning and explicitly says Pidcock “finished seventh,” and CyclingUpToDate's results summary gives the same 1–2–3. No source in the provided evidence places Pidcock in positions 1–3, so the correct settlement is NO.
Source: cyclinguptodate.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledPidcock's been strong lately and has a good shot at the podium. Given his recent performances, I think he’ll be in the top 3 in this race.

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