Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

65%
+7% last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 1Kalshi had to finalize market KXRTX5090MON-26AUG31-0.490 with an official YES, meaning the RTX 5090 compute-per-hour price for August 31, 2026, rounded to two decimals, needed to be greater than $0.49. Kalshi's record shows that the market was finalized with an official result of YES. Because Kalshi's official result meets the stated condition, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled83%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi market KXRTX5090MON-26AUG31-0.490 must be finalized by Kalshi with an official YES, meaning Kalshi's finalized outcome records the RTX 5090 compute-per-hour price for Aug 31, 2026 (per Ornn, rounded to two decimals) as > $0.49. Target date/window: 2026-08-31. Observed data (from supplied source): Kalshi entry for KXRTX5090MON-26AUG31-0.490 shows Official status: finalized and Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the market's resolution rule requires Kalshi's official finalized result to be YES; the supplied data shows exactly that, so the market resolves YES.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current trend and estimates, I’m skeptical the RTX 5090 will exceed $0.49/hour by the end of August. The tech landscape often shifts quickly, and this feels optimistic.

65%
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82%
Stable · last 24h

73%
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