Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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YES if the RFEF formally files an appeal at the Court of Arbitration for Sport (CAS) no later than October 30, 2026, otherwise NO. • A formal CAS case registration or an official RFEF press release explicitly stating the appeal was filed, including the filing date, counts. • Statements of intent or internal referrals do not count. • Source: Court of Arbitration for Sport public register or official RFEF press release.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 31 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline, the RFEF will likely file formally before the deadline—too much at stake not to. Expect a press release soon after the lodging.

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