Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 10YES if, no later than October 9, 2026, the Premier League and the English Football League (EFL) publish or jointly announce a public statement that describes and confirms an agreed funding arrangement (a formal deal, settlement, or memorandum of understanding specifying funding terms) between them. Otherwise NO. If one organisation claims an agreement and the other explicitly denies it, the market resolves NO unless independent reporting from major UK news outlets corroborates the agreement.
How markets are built and settled20%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: By October 9, 2026, the Premier League and the EFL have not jointly issued a statement confirming a formal agreement reached, with negotiations and discussions on the funding project ('New Deal') remaining ongoing without a joint announcement of a ratified agreement.
Source: independent.co.ukSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the ongoing negotiations and the deadline approaching quickly, it's likely both leagues will finalize and announce a deal soon. Expect an agreement before the deadline.

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