Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

26%
-2% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 14The market required MLB's official 2026 standings or an official MLB.com announcement to show the New York Yankees had clinched a spot in the 2026 postseason by 11:59:59 p.m. Eastern on September 13, 2026. On September 13, 2026 MLB.com, ESPN, the New York Post, Yahoo and the New York Daily News all reported that the Yankees had not yet clinched, noting the team’s magic number remained 1 after that day’s win and that they could clinch as soon as the following Monday. Because no official MLB standings or MLB.com announcement showed a clinch by 11:59:59 p.m. ET on September 13, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: All supplied, independent outlets reporting on Sept. 13, 2026 indicate the Yankees had not yet clinched a playoff spot by the end of that day. Multiple sources (NY Post and Yahoo) state New York’s magic number was still 1 after the Sept. 13 win; MLB.com and ESPN say the Yankees could clinch “as soon as Monday”/“next” (i.e., after Sept. 13). The NY Daily News post likewise says the Yankees can clinch on Monday. None of the provided pages reports that the Yankees had already clinched by 23:59:59 ET on 2026-09-13, so the correct resolution is NO.
Source: mlb.comSources used to resolve this market
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