¿Aparecerá HLE en el puesto nº1 del Global Power Rankings de LoL Esports el 7 de septiembre?

52%
-35% últimas 24 h

63%
Estable · últimas 24 h
Resuelto: No
Resultados el 31 julSÍ si Netflix informa al menos 100 millones de vistas globales de la docuserie de Michael Jackson dentro de los 30 días posteriores a su lanzamiento en junio de 2026. NO si se reportan menos de 100 millones de vistas en ese período.
Cómo se crean y se resuelven los mercados63%
Probabilidad final de la comunidad
La multitud estaba 63% segura, y se equivocó.
Por qué: 1) Premise — Release date: Netflix’s own page states Michael Jackson: The Verdict premiered on June 3, 2026 (https://www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/michael-jackson-trial-documentary-release-date-news) → Inference: the 30‑day window runs through July 3, 2026 → Conclusion: define the measurement period. 2) Premise — First‑week views: LA Times reports the docuseries “dominated the streamer’s charts with nearly 18 million views in its first week” (https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/story/2026-06-09/michael-is-streaming-the-verdict-prosecutor-details-threats) → Inference: take ~18M as a generous first‑week figure → Conclusion: first 5 days (to June 7) ≈ 18M. 3) Premise — Week ending June 14 (global Netflix Top 10): Michael Jackson: The Verdict logged 7,200,000 weekly views (https://www.netflix.com/tudum/top10/data/all-weeks-global.tsv) → Inference: add 7.2M for days June 8–14 → Conclusion: cumulative ≤ 25.2M. 4) Premise — Week ending June 21: the docuseries logged 2,500,000 weekly views (same TSV) → Inference: add 2.5M for June 15–21 → Conclusion: cumulative ≤ 27.7M. 5) Premise — Week ending June 28 Top‑10 floor: the docuseries is absent; the #10 English TV title had 1,900,000 views (same TSV) → Inference: its June 22–28 weekly views were <1.9M → Conclusion: cumulative ≤ 29.6M. 6) Premise — Week ending July 5 Top‑10 floor: the docuseries is absent; the #10 English TV title had 1,300,000 views (same TSV) → Inference: its entire June 29–July 5 week was <1.3M; only the final 3 days (July 1–3) fall in the 30‑day window, so added views in‑window <1.3M → Conclusion: 30‑day total ≤ 18.0 + 7.2 + 2.5 + 1.9 + 1.3 = 30.9M. 7) Final inference: Even under generous upper bounds, the 30‑day global views are far below 100M → Conclusion: the threshold was not reached.
Fuente: netflix.comFuentes usadas para resolver este mercado
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