🌟People·CelebritiesCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Donald Trump’s official TikTok account have more followers than Taylor Swift’s on November 1?
5%
Stable · last 24h
800 bets · 25.8K credits19
Details →
PeopleOpened Oct 9 · Results Oct 14
Will the film 'Les Misérables' play in commercial cinemas in France on October 14?
95%
Stable · last 24h
📊 267 bettors💎 12.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 14🤖 Context
YES if on October 14, 2026 (local France date) at least one commercial cinema in France held public, ticketed screenings of the film titled 'Les Misérables'. Otherwise NO. • Private festival or press-only screenings that were not open to the general public do not count. • Source: the film distributor's published release information, French cinema listings (for example Allociné), venue schedules, or mainstream French press coverage.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes95%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The market resolved as YES. The public sources consulted confirm that the film Les Misérables, directed by Fred Cavayé, was scheduled in French commercial cinemas on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, with screenings open for booking.
Source: allocine.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 95%
- Predictions made
- 267
- Credits staked
- 12,530
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Oct 9, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 13, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 15, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- allocine.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 4 comments
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