Will creators be able to stream live reaction broadcasts to another creator’s uploaded video and keep the live ad revenue?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 21The question turns on whether La captura was available to stream for accounts registered in Mexico in Netflix's Mexico catalogue at any time during the Mexico City local date August 21, 2026. Netflix's newsroom lists the film with an August 21, 2026 release and Mexican outlets including El Financiero reported it would be available from 1:00 a.m. Mexico City time on 21 August 2026, with Infobae and Variety reporting the same Netflix release date. Because those reports show the film was playable for Mexico-registered accounts during that local date, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled54%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent sources in the provided evidence unambiguously report that Netflix released La Captura (Facing El Chapo) on August 21, 2026, and that it was available on Netflix in Mexico. Netflix's own newsroom lists the film with an August 21 release date, and Mexican outlets corroborate availability — El Financiero explicitly states the film would be available on streaming from 1:00 a.m. (Mexico City/Central Time) on 21 August 2026. Infobae and Variety likewise report a worldwide/Netflix release on that date. These independent, consistent reports establish the film was playable for Mexico-registered accounts at some time during the Mexico City local date 2026-08-21.
Source: about.netflix.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledno way this flick drops on netflix mexico! they've been holding back on us for too long. 😂

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