Will TikTok publicly admit it deliberately excluded about 15 million accounts from the safer-algorithm update?

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YES if, on or before 11:59:59 PM Pacific Time on September 15, 2026, a paid purchase or rental listing for the film 'Iron Lung' is publicly available on YouTube's Movies & Shows storefront. The resolution source is YouTube/Google's Movies & Shows storefront, or a corroborating report in a national trade outlet such as Variety, Deadline, or Reuters. Free uploads, private screenings, merchandise bundles that only include a download voucher, or paid listings on non-YouTube channels do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tubefilter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 17 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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