Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 28The market pays out yes if Major League Baseball's official 2026 postseason bracket, as published after the regular season and after any MLB‑administered tiebreaker games, lists the Arizona Diamondbacks among the postseason teams. On September 27, 2026 the Philadelphia Phillies beat the Tampa Bay Rays 7-3 to clinch the final National League wild‑card spot, and MLB published the 2026 postseason bracket showing the Diamondbacks eliminated and not among the 12 qualifiers. Because the official bracket does not include the Diamondbacks, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled26%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence report that the Philadelphia Phillies beat the Tampa Bay Rays (7-3) on 2026-09-27 to clinch the final NL wild-card spot, that the 2026 MLB postseason bracket was set (MLB.com’s postseason teams and published brackets), and that the Arizona Diamondbacks were eliminated and are not among the 12 postseason qualifiers. The decisive clinching game and elimination occurred on 2026-09-27.
Source: mlb.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledThe Diamondbacks have a solid shot at the postseason this year, with their recent performance suggesting they’ll be in the mix. Expect them to secure a spot in the playoffs.

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