Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 9Resolves YES if the official final results for the 2026 Wyndham Championship, played Aug 6 to Aug 9, 2026, show the champion was decided by an on-course playoff after 72 holes, otherwise NO. The PGA Tour's official tournament results are the preferred source, but reputable reporting such as ESPN, Golf Channel, AP, or Reuters may be used. If the event is canceled or co-champions are declared without a playoff, this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled61%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent contemporaneous outlets report Michael Brennan won the 2026 Wyndham Championship outright with a final score of −22 and Beau Hossler finished solo second at −19. The ESPN leaderboard shows Brennan as the champion (66-65-63-64 = 258, −22), and Golfweek and CBS Sports likewise report Brennan as the winner by three strokes. No source reports a tie after 72 holes or an on‑course playoff — the three‑stroke margin confirms there was no playoff.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith the tournament kicking off today, the chances of a playoff seem slim unless there's a big tie after 72 holes. I wouldn't bet on it; most PGA events resolve without a playoff.

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