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Resolved: No
Results Oct 14Per the market rule, the first Nasdaq stock screener reading at or after 3:00 PM UTC on October 14, 2026 must list Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) in numeric positions 1–5 of its "Biggest US-listed companies by market capitalization" ranking for a yes. The first observed screener reading at 16:14 UTC on October 14, 2026 showed NVDA 1, AAPL 2, GOOGL 3, MSFT 4, AMZN 5 and TSM 6, with TSM's market cap at $2.31 trillion (2,308,617,062,868 USD). Because TSM was ranked 6th and not in the top five, the condition is not met, so the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settled14%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES if TSM is ranked in numeric positions 1–5 in Nasdaq's "Biggest US-listed companies by market capitalization" in the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC. Target instant: first screener reading at or after 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC. Observed value(s): Nasdaq screener reading as of 2026-10-14 16:14 UTC (the screener provides only its current reading, so this is the authoritative first reading at/after the target). The screener lists #1 NVDA, #2 AAPL, #3 GOOGL, #4 MSFT, #5 AMZN, #6 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) — market cap $2.31T (2,308,617,062,868 USD). No ties or ambiguous ranks are reported. Comparison and conclusion: TSM's numeric rank = 6, which is outside 1–5, so the condition is not met. Outcome: NO.
Source: nasdaq.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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