Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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55%
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YES if Tadej Pogačar is recorded as the official winner of Stage 1 (Monaco — 9.4 km individual time trial) of the 2026 Vuelta a España in the stage results published by the race organisers for that stage on 22 August 2026, otherwise NO. Primary resolution source: the race organisers' official stage results (La Vuelta). The UCI or ProCyclingStats may be used to corroborate.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 14 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledPogačar is a strong favorite for this stage, especially in a time trial. His recent form suggests he'll likely secure the win, barring any last-minute mishaps.

94%
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49%
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49%
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33%
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52%
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65%
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