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SportsOpened Aug 13 · Results Aug 22
Will Tadej Pogačar be on the start list and start Stage 1 of the Vuelta a España?
95%
Stable · last 24h
📊 494 bettors💎 15K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 22🤖 Context
The market requires that the official start list published by the race organiser Unipublic / La Vuelta lists Tadej Pogačar and that the Stage 1 start/finish report records him as having started Stage 1 (not marked DNS). Multiple pre-race start lists showed Pogačar as the penultimate starter with a start time of 19:19 CET, and the Stage 1 results page records Pogačar with a time and placement. Because he was on the organiser's start list and has a recorded time for Stage 1, the condition is met, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes95%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Pre-race startlists published by multiple outlets (Domestique, Velo) list Tadej Pogačar as the penultimate starter for Stage 1 (start time 19:19 CET). The ProCyclingStats Stage 1 results/GC page shows Pogačar with a recorded time/placement for Stage 1, which demonstrates he started the stage and was not marked DNS. Together these sources show he was on the start list and did start Stage 1 on the stated day.
Source: domestiquecycling.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 95%
- Predictions made
- 494
- Credits staked
- 14,988
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 13, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 22, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- domestiquecycling.com, velo.outsideonline.com, procyclingstats.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRelated predictions
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