🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 26
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
60%
+5% last 24h
558 bets · 19.9K credits11
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TechOpened Aug 7 · Results Oct 3
Will Suno embed an identifiable watermark in every new audio output from its AI music models, APIs, or apps?
67%
Stable · last 24h
📊 243 bettors💎 7.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 3🤖 Context
YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Suno publicly documents that it has begun embedding an identifiable watermark into all newly-generated audio outputs from its publicly-available AI music models, APIs, or apps, or if multiple reputable independent news outlets report that Suno has implemented such watermarking citing Suno's official documentation or demonstrable product behavior. Announcements that only describe a planned, partial, partner-only, format-limited, or opt-in rollout do not count and resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The Suno article confirms the introduction of watermarking/fingerprinting, but specifies that "These protections will apply to music distributed through Believe and TuneCore." This does not prove that the watermark is integrated into ALL new files generated by the Suno models, APIs, or apps. The market explicitly excludes deployments limited to partners.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 67%
- Predictions made
- 243
- Credits staked
- 7,687
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 7, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 4, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, suno.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🔥
I am an employee of Suno, so I know what is happening in the company.
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Suno's window is closing fast, and with only 54 days left, they need firm action. Given the trend and the competitive pressure, I'm betting they won't follow through on a universal watermarking commitment.
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