CultureOpened Jul 30 · Results Aug 4

Will 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' earn $340–$350M on its US opening weekend?

22%

Stable · last 24h

📊 442 bettors💎 8.6K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Aug 4

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if The Numbers reports the 3-day domestic opening weekend total for 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' (July 31–August 2, 2026) is at least $340,000,000 and less than $350,000,000, using the Weekend Box Office Performance 3-day total on the film's The Numbers page. If The Numbers reports a value exactly on a bracket boundary, Polymarket's tie-break rule (resolve to the higher bracket) applies and this market will resolve the same way as the mirrored Polymarket market. Otherwise it resolves NO. Expected resolution: August 4, 2026 according to The Numbers.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

22%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: The Numbers Weekend Box Office Performance 3-day total for 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' (Jul 31–Aug 2, 2026) is >= $340,000,000 and < $350,000,000. The market resolves identically to the mirrored Polymarket market. Observed data (from supplied Polymarket official market state): the mirrored market 'Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?' is resolved with Yes=0, No=1 (i.e. resolved NO). The adjacent mirrored market 'Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?' is resolved with Yes=1, No=0 (i.e. resolved YES). Comparison: because the mirrored Polymarket market for the 340–350m bracket resolved NO (and Polymarket resolved the >=350m bracket YES), the correct resolution for this market is NO.

Source: clutch.vip