Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1This market will resolve to YES if, upon its release on July 31, 2026, 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' receives a Rotten Tomatoes score above 80%. It will resolve to NO if the score is 80% or below.
How markets are built and settled91%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Rotten Tomatoes' own editorial page (dated 2026-07-31) shows Spider-Man: Brand New Day with a 90% Tomatometer (critics) and a 98% audience (Popcornmeter) score on July 31, 2026. Independent outlets (Forbes, Deadline) reported the same RT scores (~90% critics, 98% audience) around the film's opening. The supplied, independent sources consistently place the Rotten Tomatoes score well above 80% on the release date, so the answer is YES.
Source: editorial.rottentomatoes.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled"I voted yes. I think the movie will score above 80% on Rotten Tomatoes."

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