Will Ariana Grande have over 14 million daily views on any day?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 4The market pays yes if Google Trends shows a higher total search-interest value for “los javis” than for “alba carrillo” in Spain for the full UTC day October 3, 2026, and it is void in the case of an exact tie. On the UTC day October 3, 2026 Google Trends recorded a total interest of 1,802 for “los javis” and 14 for “alba carrillo” across 173 comparison points, a 98% margin. Because “los javis” had the higher search-interest value that day, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled47%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-10-03: "los javis" = 1802, "alba carrillo" = 14 across 173 comparison points. "los javis" was searched more (98% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "los javis" > "alba carrillo", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent search interest, "los javis" have trended significantly more than "alba carrillo" over the past month. Seems likely to continue that way on the 3rd.

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